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Margin of Error Calculator

Find the margin of error of a survey or poll from its sample size, result and confidence level.

About the Margin of Error Calculator

The margin of error is the “±” on poll results. It shrinks as the sample grows, but slowly: four times the sample halves the margin. For small populations, a finite population correction reduces it.

The formula

MOE = z × √(p(1 − p) ÷ n) × √((N − n) ÷ (N − 1))

Margin of error at 95% (p = 50%)

Sample size± margin
1009.8%
4004.9%
1,0003.1%
1,5002.53%
2,5001.96%
10,0000.98%

Worked example

Example: Margin of error = ± 2.94%

  1. Inputs: Sample size: 1,100; Sample proportion (%): 55; Confidence level: 95%.
  2. Formula: MOE = z × √(p(1 − p) ÷ n) × √((N − n) ÷ (N − 1))
  3. Result: Margin of error = ± 2.94%
  4. z: 1.959964

Questions people ask

Why do polls use about 1,000 people?

It gives roughly ±3% at 95% confidence; going to ±2% needs about 2,400.

Does the margin cover bias?

No. It only covers random sampling error, not badly worded questions or unrepresentative samples.