Margin of Error Calculator
Find the margin of error of a survey or poll from its sample size, result and confidence level.
About the Margin of Error Calculator
The margin of error is the “±” on poll results. It shrinks as the sample grows, but slowly: four times the sample halves the margin. For small populations, a finite population correction reduces it.
The formula
MOE = z × √(p(1 − p) ÷ n) × √((N − n) ÷ (N − 1))
Margin of error at 95% (p = 50%)
| Sample size | ± margin |
|---|---|
| 100 | 9.8% |
| 400 | 4.9% |
| 1,000 | 3.1% |
| 1,500 | 2.53% |
| 2,500 | 1.96% |
| 10,000 | 0.98% |
Worked example
Example: Margin of error = ± 2.94%
- Inputs: Sample size: 1,100; Sample proportion (%): 55; Confidence level: 95%.
- Formula: MOE = z × √(p(1 − p) ÷ n) × √((N − n) ÷ (N − 1))
- Result: Margin of error = ± 2.94%
- z: 1.959964
Questions people ask
Why do polls use about 1,000 people?
It gives roughly ±3% at 95% confidence; going to ±2% needs about 2,400.
Does the margin cover bias?
No. It only covers random sampling error, not badly worded questions or unrepresentative samples.